Joining the seismic dots 16 / 1 / 2017
#18
(01-22-2017, 03:28 PM)Duffy Wrote: Duffy;

>> Once again ... this has nothing to do with prediction, if there is any prediction value here, it can only be assessed after the experiment is finished. The object of the exercise is to determine why there seems to be a link between the data in the table, that I posted on the 16th, and "real-time" events.   You know yourself that a 7.9 occurred in P.N.G. at 04:30 ut ... I know my self, that I calculated a co-ordinate of 28' 53' E by 11' 39' N on the 15th, and posted it with the rest on the 16th.  Now, if the quake had gone off 5 minutes sooner or later, it would not be sunrise on my co-ordinate.  So in a hypothetical scenario, this would imply that I would have to know the exact time the quake was going to occur, and then choose a random point along the sunrise threshold over South Sudan,and stick a pin in my map.  That would sound ridiculous in reality, and that's why this is so intriguing, I work the source and stick a pin in my map, and 7 days later, I end up on the sunrise threshold in Sudan, at the exact time a major quake occurs on the other side of the world!

I understand that, but it would lead to predictions if it is significantly repeatable.

>>  As I have stated, I am not a scientist so I can only assume that my words here are clear enough for a scientist to understand. I don't know science lingo, so I can only apologies if this is not to standard.  I am "not" predicting here, I just want any scientist to tell me, if my source of information has correlation with earthquakes.

And as you say, that has to wait until you are finished.

>> The satellite feed stopped at 20:40 ut 21st Jan ... Centre of the moon was on 160' 33' E at this time. Using my formula, if you move 7.25 degrees fore or west of this bearing, you land on 153' 18' E (15 arc minutes West of 5.6 New Britain). It stopped the same time the night before, in both cases the moon was in the vicinity of 156' 12' E ... interesting !

Yes but is it significant? I'm trying to determine how often it happens by chance. I've done it with random date/times and now with quakes and the answer seems to be depends on how wide the hit bands are.

Roger




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Messages In This Thread
Joining the seismic dots 16 / 1 / 2017 - by Duffy - 01-16-2017, 02:01 PM
RE: Joining the seismic dots 16 / 1 / 2017 - by Roger Hunter - 01-22-2017, 07:42 PM

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