Online Quake Detection .. Is This Method Or Madness!
#1
Hi all,

         I would first like to thank Brian and Roger for their assurance that I will be tolerated further .. even with my strange idea's, and will of course tell them in good time if I start bleeding from my forehead and palms  Angel.

I decided to start a new thread because I am not able to evaluate myself in a manner that would be commonly accepted as the norm, If I had to be honest with myself, and relay the same honesty on a public forum .. I would not be believed !!.   As I have mentioned in a resent post, my occupation is seasonal between spring and fall, in the winter I retire, which gives me plenty of time to follow up on projects such as this. As a result, I have found several sources of information and data that correlate with my own.    I have come to realise, no amount of images or predictions I submit here are going to get me any further than just coincidence or speculation, corroboration of this data has led me to a point in my detection method's that requires outside intervention.   This being the case, I thought I would share some of this information, in the hope that others may come to the same or an alternative conclusion to my own.

This is purely an observational exercise, and to help with efficiency, I suggest you use a minimum of two monitors connected to the internet ( I find it easier with three).  On the first monitor .. upload  "www.timeanddate.com" .. in the title bar, click on "Sun & Moon" .. in the drop down menu, click on "Day and Night Map".  You should be looking at a World map with Sun, Moon , terminator and twilight positions for the time you are visiting the site, along the bottom of the map, it gives you the option to add or subtract time, and lower down the page it gives you the option to input any time and date required. I have found the input time selection can occasionally miss a minute, but this isn't relevant  for the present.

Do exactly the same with the second monitor, only, you need to input a date and time that is precisely 182 days and 12 hours ahead of your present time, for example ... if the present date and time is 6th February at 22:00 UT , you would need to input 6th August at 10:00 UT.  

The first point of this exercise is to determine how many quakes occur in the different twilight regions, civil, nautical and astronomical, and note what magnitude they attain in each zone on both maps.  It is probable that most members are used to monitoring daily quake activity on the USGS site, but to get a greater perspective of this, you would also need to monitor the European site, http://www.emsc-csem.org.

In both screens, you will see that at mid latitudes, both sets of twilight zones pass over a given area in about 3 hours, but at the polar regions, it can take up to 12 hours, with each zone being longer or shorter than the last.   By now, you may be thinking why I have included the August map! ...  this is in fact the reason why I need the opinion of others.

At this stage, you will need real time Solar wind data at http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-re...solar-wind.  You should be looking at a screen on the left, with the days SDO data recordings, and a selection of solar wind components on the right. Choose the Plasma option then click on the duration box at the top of the screen, and select 6 hours.  You are now ready to monitor, possible anomalies that both my systems and the SDO satellite have recorded, which lie beyond the visible terminator zones .. that my data suggests a correlation with tectonic activity

As I have stated before, I have been recording multiple signals, which I believe relate to hot spots on the Earth's surface, there are three very prominent anomalies at the moment that I have been trying to predict on, these are New Zealand (namely the Cook Strait), Southern Tajikistan and off the East coast of Porto Rico.    Now, if you monitor the terminator zones when they reach or transit these locations, you should see a change in the Solar wind data, in most cases you will see a break in signal reception, which further monitoring should show several breaks.   I timed these breaks before I posted my last prediction, they calculated to the minute as civil twilight, nautical twilight and astronomical twilight in the region of Tajikistan, I have found similar with the other locations mentioned.   To confirm the time periods, I use a site called "suncalc.net", again, it displays a world map, if you click "more detail" in the time box on the right, it will display the relevant zones.

I personally have been monitoring these occurrences for five months .. and gone as far as my limits will allow to find an alternate reason, my conclusion thus far is terminator zones beyond the visible may exist, or a logical explanation that I am un aware of may be the cause.  Either way, this is "not" my data, this is not a local phenomena as the satellite is 1.5 million kms from Earth, and if participants are willing to put in a fraction of the tlme and devotion I have, they may find the results quite surprising.  The outcome I am hoping to get from this is as the thread title suggests .. is there true method in detection here, or am I finally loosing my mind, if anyone else's conclusion favours the former, then the rest of the data I have may go a lot further than just terminators !!!.   As a final note, If my hypothesis is correct, activity should increase and climax some time on Thursday with an event occurring at one of the locations mentioned, I still favour Tajikistan as the signal breaks have been more prominent there.

It is now 22:00 UT, and I notice the solar data has changed format as the August terminator transits Central America, first break 21:04 UT, second break 21:36 UT ???  

look forward to hearing any other thought's on this,

Thank You 

Duffy,




Reply
#2
(02-06-2016, 10:12 PM)Duffy Wrote: Hi all,

         I would first like to thank Brian and Roger for their assurance that I will be tolerated further .. even with my strange idea's, and will of course tell them in good time if I start bleeding from my forehead and palms  Angel.

I decided to start a new thread because I am not able to evaluate myself in a manner that would be commonly accepted as the norm, If I had to be honest with myself, and relay the same honesty on a public forum .. I would not be believed !!.   As I have mentioned in a resent post, my occupation is seasonal between spring and fall, in the winter I retire, which gives me plenty of time to follow up on projects such as this. As a result, I have found several sources of information and data that correlate with my own.    I have come to realise, no amount of images or predictions I submit here are going to get me any further than just coincidence or speculation, corroboration of this data has led me to a point in my detection method's that requires outside intervention.   This being the case, I thought I would share some of this information, in the hope that others may come to the same or an alternative conclusion to my own.

This is purely an observational exercise, and to help with efficiency, I suggest you use a minimum of two monitors connected to the internet ( I find it easier with three).  On the first monitor .. upload  "www.timeanddate.com" .. in the title bar, click on "Sun & Moon" .. in the drop down menu, click on "Day and Night Map".  You should be looking at a World map with Sun, Moon , terminator and twilight positions for the time you are visiting the site, along the bottom of the map, it gives you the option to add or subtract time, and lower down the page it gives you the option to input any time and date required. I have found the input time selection can occasionally miss a minute, but this isn't relevant  for the present.

Do exactly the same with the second monitor, only, you need to input a date and time that is precisely 182 days and 12 hours ahead of your present time, for example ... if the present date and time is 6th February at 22:00 UT , you would need to input 6th August at 10:00 UT.  

The first point of this exercise is to determine how many quakes occur in the different twilight regions, civil, nautical and astronomical, and note what magnitude they attain in each zone on both maps.  It is probable that most members are used to monitoring daily quake activity on the USGS site, but to get a greater perspective of this, you would also need to monitor the European site, http://www.emsc-csem.org.

In both screens, you will see that at mid latitudes, both sets of twilight zones pass over a given area in about 3 hours, but at the polar regions, it can take up to 12 hours, with each zone being longer or shorter than the last.   By now, you may be thinking why I have included the August map! ...  this is in fact the reason why I need the opinion of others.

At this stage, you will need real time Solar wind data at http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-re...solar-wind.  You should be looking at a screen on the left, with the days SDO data recordings, and a selection of solar wind components on the right. Choose the Plasma option then click on the duration box at the top of the screen, and select 6 hours.  You are now ready to monitor, possible anomalies that both my systems and the SDO satellite have recorded, which lie beyond the visible terminator zones .. that my data suggests a correlation with tectonic activity

As I have stated before, I have been recording multiple signals, which I believe relate to hot spots on the Earth's surface, there are three very prominent anomalies at the moment that I have been trying to predict on, these are New Zealand (namely the Cook Strait), Southern Tajikistan and off the East coast of Porto Rico.    Now, if you monitor the terminator zones when they reach or transit these locations, you should see a change in the Solar wind data, in most cases you will see a break in signal reception, which further monitoring should show several breaks.   I timed these breaks before I posted my last prediction, they calculated to the minute as civil twilight, nautical twilight and astronomical twilight in the region of Tajikistan, I have found similar with the other locations mentioned.   To confirm the time periods, I use a site called "suncalc.net", again, it displays a world map, if you click "more detail" in the time box on the right, it will display the relevant zones.

I personally have been monitoring these occurrences for five months .. and gone as far as my limits will allow to find an alternate reason, my conclusion thus far is terminator zones beyond the visible may exist, or a logical explanation that I am un aware of may be the cause.  Either way, this is "not" my data, this is not a local phenomena as the satellite is 1.5 million kms from Earth, and if participants are willing to put in a fraction of the tlme and devotion I have, they may find the results quite surprising.  The outcome I am hoping to get from this is as the thread title suggests .. is there true method in detection here, or am I finally loosing my mind, if anyone else's conclusion favours the former, then the rest of the data I have may go a lot further than just terminators !!!.   As a final note, If my hypothesis is correct, activity should increase and climax some time on Thursday with an event occurring at one of the locations mentioned, I still favour Tajikistan as the signal breaks have been more prominent there.

It is now 22:00 UT, and I notice the solar data has changed format as the August terminator transits Central America, first break 21:04 UT, second break 21:36 UT ???  

look forward to hearing any other thought's on this,

Thank You 

Duffy,
Apologies, The satellite data is from NASA's Advanced Composition Explorer Satellite (ACE) and not SDO, though I have corroborated data with this one as well.  As an after thought, you may want to compare the magnetic field data with said terminators, though signal breaks are less visible here.




Reply
#3
(02-06-2016, 11:15 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-06-2016, 10:12 PM)Duffy Wrote: Hi all,

         I would first like to thank Brian and Roger for their assurance that I will be tolerated further .. even with my strange idea's, and will of course tell them in good time if I start bleeding from my forehead and palms  Angel.

I decided to start a new thread because I am not able to evaluate myself in a manner that would be commonly accepted as the norm, If I had to be honest with myself, and relay the same honesty on a public forum .. I would not be believed !!.   As I have mentioned in a resent post, my occupation is seasonal between spring and fall, in the winter I retire, which gives me plenty of time to follow up on projects such as this. As a result, I have found several sources of information and data that correlate with my own.    I have come to realise, no amount of images or predictions I submit here are going to get me any further than just coincidence or speculation, corroboration of this data has led me to a point in my detection method's that requires outside intervention.   This being the case, I thought I would share some of this information, in the hope that others may come to the same or an alternative conclusion to my own.

This is purely an observational exercise, and to help with efficiency, I suggest you use a minimum of two monitors connected to the internet ( I find it easier with three).  On the first monitor .. upload  "www.timeanddate.com" .. in the title bar, click on "Sun & Moon" .. in the drop down menu, click on "Day and Night Map".  You should be looking at a World map with Sun, Moon , terminator and twilight positions for the time you are visiting the site, along the bottom of the map, it gives you the option to add or subtract time, and lower down the page it gives you the option to input any time and date required. I have found the input time selection can occasionally miss a minute, but this isn't relevant  for the present.

Do exactly the same with the second monitor, only, you need to input a date and time that is precisely 182 days and 12 hours ahead of your present time, for example ... if the present date and time is 6th February at 22:00 UT , you would need to input 6th August at 10:00 UT.  

The first point of this exercise is to determine how many quakes occur in the different twilight regions, civil, nautical and astronomical, and note what magnitude they attain in each zone on both maps.  It is probable that most members are used to monitoring daily quake activity on the USGS site, but to get a greater perspective of this, you would also need to monitor the European site, http://www.emsc-csem.org.

In both screens, you will see that at mid latitudes, both sets of twilight zones pass over a given area in about 3 hours, but at the polar regions, it can take up to 12 hours, with each zone being longer or shorter than the last.   By now, you may be thinking why I have included the August map! ...  this is in fact the reason why I need the opinion of others.

At this stage, you will need real time Solar wind data at http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/ace-re...solar-wind.  You should be looking at a screen on the left, with the days SDO data recordings, and a selection of solar wind components on the right. Choose the Plasma option then click on the duration box at the top of the screen, and select 6 hours.  You are now ready to monitor, possible anomalies that both my systems and the SDO satellite have recorded, which lie beyond the visible terminator zones .. that my data suggests a correlation with tectonic activity

As I have stated before, I have been recording multiple signals, which I believe relate to hot spots on the Earth's surface, there are three very prominent anomalies at the moment that I have been trying to predict on, these are New Zealand (namely the Cook Strait), Southern Tajikistan and off the East coast of Porto Rico.    Now, if you monitor the terminator zones when they reach or transit these locations, you should see a change in the Solar wind data, in most cases you will see a break in signal reception, which further monitoring should show several breaks.   I timed these breaks before I posted my last prediction, they calculated to the minute as civil twilight, nautical twilight and astronomical twilight in the region of Tajikistan, I have found similar with the other locations mentioned.   To confirm the time periods, I use a site called "suncalc.net", again, it displays a world map, if you click "more detail" in the time box on the right, it will display the relevant zones.

I personally have been monitoring these occurrences for five months .. and gone as far as my limits will allow to find an alternate reason, my conclusion thus far is terminator zones beyond the visible may exist, or a logical explanation that I am un aware of may be the cause.  Either way, this is "not" my data, this is not a local phenomena as the satellite is 1.5 million kms from Earth, and if participants are willing to put in a fraction of the tlme and devotion I have, they may find the results quite surprising.  The outcome I am hoping to get from this is as the thread title suggests .. is there true method in detection here, or am I finally loosing my mind, if anyone else's conclusion favours the former, then the rest of the data I have may go a lot further than just terminators !!!.   As a final note, If my hypothesis is correct, activity should increase and climax some time on Thursday with an event occurring at one of the locations mentioned, I still favour Tajikistan as the signal breaks have been more prominent there.

It is now 22:00 UT, and I notice the solar data has changed format as the August terminator transits Central America, first break 21:04 UT, second break 21:36 UT ???  

look forward to hearing any other thought's on this,

Thank You 

Duffy,
Apologies, The satellite data is from NASA's Advanced Composition Explorer Satellite (ACE) and not SDO, though I have corroborated data with this one as well.  As an after thought, you may want to compare the magnetic field data with said terminators, though signal breaks are less visible here.

Duffy;

Pick a time at random; it will be twilight somewhere in the world

What mechanism do you think is at work to cause quakes at this time of day?

I've never observed any favored local time of day for quakes.

Roger




Reply
#4
Hi Roger,

            As you have been good enough to give me encouragement to continue, I will be equally so by following this on a factual basis were possible, and avoid speculating on something that I am not familiar with, or the data does not relate to.  I brought real-time observable data to the forum, and I am able to speculate it's meaning, because I have recorded the same data and tested the same anomalous readings.  The data is highly suggestive of known, and unknown influences which correlate with tectonic events and instabilities under the Earth's surface. I have brought this forward for testing by others to see if another explanation can be found for the signal breaks and the unusual structural changes that corrolate with locations I have suggested, in the online Solar wind data.   This relates to my hypothesis, I have tried to tear this apart myself, and not succeeded, it is for others to now try and do the same .. if another explanation can be found, it means I will have to re-evaluate my data, if not .. I will " then" speculate it's nature.

I'm not quite sure of your meaning " pick a time at random, it will be twilight somewhere in the world ", it's obvious, it will always be twilight somewhere in the World, but,  If I have specifically stated three locations, I don't know how picking a random time would automatically relate to landing on one of these at twilight !!, unless we have cross communication here, and you are referring to daylight ?.

I too, do not consider a favoured time of day for Earthquakes, but my observations suggest that the majority of low magnitude quakes occur within the twilight regions of the known and "as yet" unknown terminator.  I have not kept an up todate record of this, but it might be something you could run through your program, as I would be interested to see the results .. unless you have already tried this and know differently .. in which case, I will stand corrected.  

                                                                ...................................................................................

This is for anybody that has decided to go along with my suggestion ... A shut down of satellite data occurred today at 07:20 UT, I do not know the official explanation for this, but I did record something of interest during the same time period, which I have saved for further scrutiny should the day come, my findings are taken seriously.

If you set the August map to the 6th at 19:20 UT ... and the present map to the 7th at 07:20 UT.   In the August map, you can see the outer edge of the civil twilight zone is in contact with the Cook Strait, New Zealand, and departing.  In the present map, you can see the leading edge of civil twilight zone making contact with the North coast of North Island. You may have noticed, there is a gap between the two zones, my data at this point shows an anomaly is present, and the gap in question !!. I could speculate how this could relate to satellite signal loss, but as I have mentioned, it is recorded for future reference.   As I type this, I notice a similar occurrence has taken place in the Solar data at 21:20 UT, Puerto Rico (spelt it right this time !) is currently in the twilight zones of the August map, and I have recorded a similar anomaly again !!.  Finally, a bottle neck occurred in the magnetic field data between 13:00 UT and 14:15 UT which corresponded with nautical and astronomical twilight transit time over Tajigistan, and conveniently finished with an M4.5 quake in the Hindu Kush region.  There is no guarantee that I have calculated the locations correctly, but so far, Solar data seems to respond accordingly.

I know this idea may sound ridiculous to some, and I fully understand any negativity .. but I think it only fair that I be judged on this when it has been tested over several days, but it would be appreciated if anyone acknowledged their participation. 

Think I will go and watch the Super Bowl on TV now, might see a few more left fielders in action there Wink.

Thank You, 

Duffy,




Reply
#5
Up date ... I am currently recording a major structural anomaly forming ,which appears to resemble structures I have associated in the past to tectonic events of  mag 6 +, though the size of this signal indicates a higher value.  I cannot define true location, but preceding Sunrise signal may indicate Central America, within the next hour from the time of this post.

Duffy,




Reply
#6
(02-09-2016, 11:25 AM)Duffy Wrote: Up date ... I am currently recording a major structural anomaly forming ,which appears to resemble structures I have associated in the past to tectonic events of  mag 6 +, though the size of this signal indicates a higher value.  I cannot define true location, but preceding Sunrise signal may indicate Central America, within the next hour from the time of this post.

Duffy,
It would appear that I recorded an amalgamation of 5's within the terminator zones, but I don't think I can claim a mag 15 for my troubles Undecided .  I am up dating  because this seems to be resulting in a butterfly effect (will explain later), new anomalies are currently forming again, and may  now repeat the process of 5's along the Eastern terminator zones, structure is similar ... the first one has produced spikes which may result in events of unknown magnitude at approx 14:22 UT and 14:43 UT.

Duffy




Reply
#7
(02-07-2016, 11:44 PM)Duffy Wrote: Hi Roger,

            As you have been good enough to give me encouragement to continue, I will be equally so by following this on a factual basis were possible, and avoid speculating on something that I am not familiar with, or the data does not relate to.  I brought real-time observable data to the forum, and I am able to speculate it's meaning, because I have recorded the same data and tested the same anomalous readings.  The data is highly suggestive of known, and unknown influences which correlate with tectonic events and instabilities under the Earth's surface. I have brought this forward for testing by others to see if another explanation can be found for the signal breaks and the unusual structural changes that corrolate with locations I have suggested, in the online Solar wind data.   This relates to my hypothesis, I have tried to tear this apart myself, and not succeeded, it is for others to now try and do the same .. if another explanation can be found, it means I will have to re-evaluate my data, if not .. I will " then" speculate it's nature.

I'm not quite sure of your meaning " pick a time at random, it will be twilight somewhere in the world ", it's obvious, it will always be twilight somewhere in the World, but,  If I have specifically stated three locations, I don't know how picking a random time would automatically relate to landing on one of these at twilight !!, unless we have cross communication here, and you are referring to daylight ?.

I too, do not consider a favoured time of day for Earthquakes, but my observations suggest that the majority of low magnitude quakes occur within the twilight regions of the known and "as yet" unknown terminator.  I have not kept an up todate record of this, but it might be something you could run through your program, as I would be interested to see the results .. unless you have already tried this and know differently .. in which case, I will stand corrected.  

                                                                ...................................................................................

This is for anybody that has decided to go along with my suggestion ... A shut down of satellite data occurred today at 07:20 UT, I do not know the official explanation for this, but I did record something of interest during the same time period, which I have saved for further scrutiny should the day come, my findings are taken seriously.

If you set the August map to the 6th at 19:20 UT ... and the present map to the 7th at 07:20 UT.   In the August map, you can see the outer edge of the civil twilight zone is in contact with the Cook Strait, New Zealand, and departing.  In the present map, you can see the leading edge of civil twilight zone making contact with the North coast of North Island. You may have noticed, there is a gap between the two zones, my data at this point shows an anomaly is present, and the gap in question !!. I could speculate how this could relate to satellite signal loss, but as I have mentioned, it is recorded for future reference.   As I type this, I notice a similar occurrence has taken place in the Solar data at 21:20 UT, Puerto Rico (spelt it right this time !) is currently in the twilight zones of the August map, and I have recorded a similar anomaly again !!.  Finally, a bottle neck occurred in the magnetic field data between 13:00 UT and 14:15 UT which corresponded with nautical and astronomical twilight transit time over Tajigistan, and conveniently finished with an M4.5 quake in the Hindu Kush region.  There is no guarantee that I have calculated the locations correctly, but so far, Solar data seems to respond accordingly.

I know this idea may sound ridiculous to some, and I fully understand any negativity .. but I think it only fair that I be judged on this when it has been tested over several days, but it would be appreciated if anyone acknowledged their participation. 

Think I will go and watch the Super Bowl on TV now, might see a few more left fielders in action there Wink.

Thank You, 

Duffy,

(02-09-2016, 02:16 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-09-2016, 11:25 AM)Duffy Wrote: Up date ... I am currently recording a major structural anomaly forming ,which appears to resemble structures I have associated in the past to tectonic events of  mag 6 +, though the size of this signal indicates a higher value.  I cannot define true location, but preceding Sunrise signal may indicate Central America, within the next hour from the time of this post.

Duffy,
It would appear that I recorded an amalgamation of 5's within the terminator zones, but I don't think I can claim a mag 15 for my troubles Undecided .  I am up dating  because this seems to be resulting in a butterfly effect (will explain later), new anomalies are currently forming again, and may  now repeat the process of 5's along the Eastern terminator zones, structure is similar ... the first one has produced spikes which may result in events of unknown magnitude at approx 14:22 UT and 14:43 UT.

Duffy

Duffy;

See if I have this correct.

You see an anomaly on your traces and check the terminator for likely locations. Later you check the published quakes to see what was in those locations.

This is a good way to fool yourself. The terminator is a 90 degree circle with a fairly wide width so the chances of finding something somewhere are very high. It's also difficult to check, computer-wise. Accepting low mag events raises the odds quite high too.

Roger




Reply
#8
(02-09-2016, 11:09 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(02-07-2016, 11:44 PM)Duffy Wrote: Hi Roger,

            As you have been good enough to give me encouragement to continue, I will be equally so by following this on a factual basis were possible, and avoid speculating on something that I am not familiar with, or the data does not relate to.  I brought real-time observable data to the forum, and I am able to speculate it's meaning, because I have recorded the same data and tested the same anomalous readings.  The data is highly suggestive of known, and unknown influences which correlate with tectonic events and instabilities under the Earth's surface. I have brought this forward for testing by others to see if another explanation can be found for the signal breaks and the unusual structural changes that corrolate with locations I have suggested, in the online Solar wind data.   This relates to my hypothesis, I have tried to tear this apart myself, and not succeeded, it is for others to now try and do the same .. if another explanation can be found, it means I will have to re-evaluate my data, if not .. I will " then" speculate it's nature.

I'm not quite sure of your meaning " pick a time at random, it will be twilight somewhere in the world ", it's obvious, it will always be twilight somewhere in the World, but,  If I have specifically stated three locations, I don't know how picking a random time would automatically relate to landing on one of these at twilight !!, unless we have cross communication here, and you are referring to daylight ?.

I too, do not consider a favoured time of day for Earthquakes, but my observations suggest that the majority of low magnitude quakes occur within the twilight regions of the known and "as yet" unknown terminator.  I have not kept an up todate record of this, but it might be something you could run through your program, as I would be interested to see the results .. unless you have already tried this and know differently .. in which case, I will stand corrected.  

                                                                ...................................................................................

This is for anybody that has decided to go along with my suggestion ... A shut down of satellite data occurred today at 07:20 UT, I do not know the official explanation for this, but I did record something of interest during the same time period, which I have saved for further scrutiny should the day come, my findings are taken seriously.

If you set the August map to the 6th at 19:20 UT ... and the present map to the 7th at 07:20 UT.   In the August map, you can see the outer edge of the civil twilight zone is in contact with the Cook Strait, New Zealand, and departing.  In the present map, you can see the leading edge of civil twilight zone making contact with the North coast of North Island. You may have noticed, there is a gap between the two zones, my data at this point shows an anomaly is present, and the gap in question !!. I could speculate how this could relate to satellite signal loss, but as I have mentioned, it is recorded for future reference.   As I type this, I notice a similar occurrence has taken place in the Solar data at 21:20 UT, Puerto Rico (spelt it right this time !) is currently in the twilight zones of the August map, and I have recorded a similar anomaly again !!.  Finally, a bottle neck occurred in the magnetic field data between 13:00 UT and 14:15 UT which corresponded with nautical and astronomical twilight transit time over Tajigistan, and conveniently finished with an M4.5 quake in the Hindu Kush region.  There is no guarantee that I have calculated the locations correctly, but so far, Solar data seems to respond accordingly.

I know this idea may sound ridiculous to some, and I fully understand any negativity .. but I think it only fair that I be judged on this when it has been tested over several days, but it would be appreciated if anyone acknowledged their participation. 

Think I will go and watch the Super Bowl on TV now, might see a few more left fielders in action there Wink.

Thank You, 

Duffy,

(02-09-2016, 02:16 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-09-2016, 11:25 AM)Duffy Wrote: Up date ... I am currently recording a major structural anomaly forming ,which appears to resemble structures I have associated in the past to tectonic events of  mag 6 +, though the size of this signal indicates a higher value.  I cannot define true location, but preceding Sunrise signal may indicate Central America, within the next hour from the time of this post.

Duffy,
It would appear that I recorded an amalgamation of 5's within the terminator zones, but I don't think I can claim a mag 15 for my troubles Undecided .  I am up dating  because this seems to be resulting in a butterfly effect (will explain later), new anomalies are currently forming again, and may  now repeat the process of 5's along the Eastern terminator zones, structure is similar ... the first one has produced spikes which may result in events of unknown magnitude at approx 14:22 UT and 14:43 UT.

Duffy

Duffy;

See if I have this correct.

You see an anomaly on your traces and check the terminator for likely locations. Later you check the published quakes to see what was in those locations.

This is a good way to fool yourself. The terminator is a 90 degree circle with a fairly wide width so the chances of finding something somewhere are very high. It's also difficult to check, computer-wise. Accepting low mag events raises the odds quite high too.

Roger

 Roger,


Are we talking about fooling myself, or fools rush in .. How nigh eve do you think I am ? .... PLEASE tell me you didn't pass judgement on my second up date before an official time stamp has had chance to materialise !! 


Duffy,




Reply
#9
(02-10-2016, 01:05 AM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-09-2016, 11:09 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(02-07-2016, 11:44 PM)Duffy Wrote: Hi Roger,

            As you have been good enough to give me encouragement to continue, I will be equally so by following this on a factual basis were possible, and avoid speculating on something that I am not familiar with, or the data does not relate to.  I brought real-time observable data to the forum, and I am able to speculate it's meaning, because I have recorded the same data and tested the same anomalous readings.  The data is highly suggestive of known, and unknown influences which correlate with tectonic events and instabilities under the Earth's surface. I have brought this forward for testing by others to see if another explanation can be found for the signal breaks and the unusual structural changes that corrolate with locations I have suggested, in the online Solar wind data.   This relates to my hypothesis, I have tried to tear this apart myself, and not succeeded, it is for others to now try and do the same .. if another explanation can be found, it means I will have to re-evaluate my data, if not .. I will " then" speculate it's nature.

I'm not quite sure of your meaning " pick a time at random, it will be twilight somewhere in the world ", it's obvious, it will always be twilight somewhere in the World, but,  If I have specifically stated three locations, I don't know how picking a random time would automatically relate to landing on one of these at twilight !!, unless we have cross communication here, and you are referring to daylight ?.

I too, do not consider a favoured time of day for Earthquakes, but my observations suggest that the majority of low magnitude quakes occur within the twilight regions of the known and "as yet" unknown terminator.  I have not kept an up todate record of this, but it might be something you could run through your program, as I would be interested to see the results .. unless you have already tried this and know differently .. in which case, I will stand corrected.  

                                                                ...................................................................................

This is for anybody that has decided to go along with my suggestion ... A shut down of satellite data occurred today at 07:20 UT, I do not know the official explanation for this, but I did record something of interest during the same time period, which I have saved for further scrutiny should the day come, my findings are taken seriously.

If you set the August map to the 6th at 19:20 UT ... and the present map to the 7th at 07:20 UT.   In the August map, you can see the outer edge of the civil twilight zone is in contact with the Cook Strait, New Zealand, and departing.  In the present map, you can see the leading edge of civil twilight zone making contact with the North coast of North Island. You may have noticed, there is a gap between the two zones, my data at this point shows an anomaly is present, and the gap in question !!. I could speculate how this could relate to satellite signal loss, but as I have mentioned, it is recorded for future reference.   As I type this, I notice a similar occurrence has taken place in the Solar data at 21:20 UT, Puerto Rico (spelt it right this time !) is currently in the twilight zones of the August map, and I have recorded a similar anomaly again !!.  Finally, a bottle neck occurred in the magnetic field data between 13:00 UT and 14:15 UT which corresponded with nautical and astronomical twilight transit time over Tajigistan, and conveniently finished with an M4.5 quake in the Hindu Kush region.  There is no guarantee that I have calculated the locations correctly, but so far, Solar data seems to respond accordingly.

I know this idea may sound ridiculous to some, and I fully understand any negativity .. but I think it only fair that I be judged on this when it has been tested over several days, but it would be appreciated if anyone acknowledged their participation. 

Think I will go and watch the Super Bowl on TV now, might see a few more left fielders in action there Wink.

Thank You, 

Duffy,

(02-09-2016, 02:16 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-09-2016, 11:25 AM)Duffy Wrote: Up date ... I am currently recording a major structural anomaly forming ,which appears to resemble structures I have associated in the past to tectonic events of  mag 6 +, though the size of this signal indicates a higher value.  I cannot define true location, but preceding Sunrise signal may indicate Central America, within the next hour from the time of this post.

Duffy,
It would appear that I recorded an amalgamation of 5's within the terminator zones, but I don't think I can claim a mag 15 for my troubles Undecided .  I am up dating  because this seems to be resulting in a butterfly effect (will explain later), new anomalies are currently forming again, and may  now repeat the process of 5's along the Eastern terminator zones, structure is similar ... the first one has produced spikes which may result in events of unknown magnitude at approx 14:22 UT and 14:43 UT.

Duffy

Duffy;

See if I have this correct.

You see an anomaly on your traces and check the terminator for likely locations. Later you check the published quakes to see what was in those locations.

This is a good way to fool yourself. The terminator is a 90 degree circle with a fairly wide width so the chances of finding something somewhere are very high. It's also difficult to check, computer-wise. Accepting low mag events raises the odds quite high too.

Roger

 Roger,


Are we talking about fooling myself, or fools rush in .. How nigh eve do you think I am ? .... PLEASE tell me you didn't pass judgement on my second up date before an official time stamp has had chance to materialise !! 


Duffy,

Duffy;

No, I'm trying to explain why you seem to get hits.

Roger




Reply
#10
(02-10-2016, 01:10 AM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(02-10-2016, 01:05 AM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-09-2016, 11:09 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(02-07-2016, 11:44 PM)Duffy Wrote: Hi Roger,

            As you have been good enough to give me encouragement to continue, I will be equally so by following this on a factual basis were possible, and avoid speculating on something that I am not familiar with, or the data does not relate to.  I brought real-time observable data to the forum, and I am able to speculate it's meaning, because I have recorded the same data and tested the same anomalous readings.  The data is highly suggestive of known, and unknown influences which correlate with tectonic events and instabilities under the Earth's surface. I have brought this forward for testing by others to see if another explanation can be found for the signal breaks and the unusual structural changes that corrolate with locations I have suggested, in the online Solar wind data.   This relates to my hypothesis, I have tried to tear this apart myself, and not succeeded, it is for others to now try and do the same .. if another explanation can be found, it means I will have to re-evaluate my data, if not .. I will " then" speculate it's nature.

I'm not quite sure of your meaning " pick a time at random, it will be twilight somewhere in the world ", it's obvious, it will always be twilight somewhere in the World, but,  If I have specifically stated three locations, I don't know how picking a random time would automatically relate to landing on one of these at twilight !!, unless we have cross communication here, and you are referring to daylight ?.

I too, do not consider a favoured time of day for Earthquakes, but my observations suggest that the majority of low magnitude quakes occur within the twilight regions of the known and "as yet" unknown terminator.  I have not kept an up todate record of this, but it might be something you could run through your program, as I would be interested to see the results .. unless you have already tried this and know differently .. in which case, I will stand corrected.  

                                                                ...................................................................................

This is for anybody that has decided to go along with my suggestion ... A shut down of satellite data occurred today at 07:20 UT, I do not know the official explanation for this, but I did record something of interest during the same time period, which I have saved for further scrutiny should the day come, my findings are taken seriously.

If you set the August map to the 6th at 19:20 UT ... and the present map to the 7th at 07:20 UT.   In the August map, you can see the outer edge of the civil twilight zone is in contact with the Cook Strait, New Zealand, and departing.  In the present map, you can see the leading edge of civil twilight zone making contact with the North coast of North Island. You may have noticed, there is a gap between the two zones, my data at this point shows an anomaly is present, and the gap in question !!. I could speculate how this could relate to satellite signal loss, but as I have mentioned, it is recorded for future reference.   As I type this, I notice a similar occurrence has taken place in the Solar data at 21:20 UT, Puerto Rico (spelt it right this time !) is currently in the twilight zones of the August map, and I have recorded a similar anomaly again !!.  Finally, a bottle neck occurred in the magnetic field data between 13:00 UT and 14:15 UT which corresponded with nautical and astronomical twilight transit time over Tajigistan, and conveniently finished with an M4.5 quake in the Hindu Kush region.  There is no guarantee that I have calculated the locations correctly, but so far, Solar data seems to respond accordingly.

I know this idea may sound ridiculous to some, and I fully understand any negativity .. but I think it only fair that I be judged on this when it has been tested over several days, but it would be appreciated if anyone acknowledged their participation. 

Think I will go and watch the Super Bowl on TV now, might see a few more left fielders in action there Wink.

Thank You, 

Duffy,

(02-09-2016, 02:16 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-09-2016, 11:25 AM)Duffy Wrote: Up date ... I am currently recording a major structural anomaly forming ,which appears to resemble structures I have associated in the past to tectonic events of  mag 6 +, though the size of this signal indicates a higher value.  I cannot define true location, but preceding Sunrise signal may indicate Central America, within the next hour from the time of this post.

Duffy,
It would appear that I recorded an amalgamation of 5's within the terminator zones, but I don't think I can claim a mag 15 for my troubles Undecided .  I am up dating  because this seems to be resulting in a butterfly effect (will explain later), new anomalies are currently forming again, and may  now repeat the process of 5's along the Eastern terminator zones, structure is similar ... the first one has produced spikes which may result in events of unknown magnitude at approx 14:22 UT and 14:43 UT.

Duffy

Duffy;

See if I have this correct.

You see an anomaly on your traces and check the terminator for likely locations. Later you check the published quakes to see what was in those locations.

This is a good way to fool yourself. The terminator is a 90 degree circle with a fairly wide width so the chances of finding something somewhere are very high. It's also difficult to check, computer-wise. Accepting low mag events raises the odds quite high too.

Roger

 Roger,


Are we talking about fooling myself, or fools rush in .. How nigh eve do you think I am ? .... PLEASE tell me you didn't pass judgement on my second up date before an official time stamp has had chance to materialise !! 


Duffy,

Duffy;

No, I'm trying to explain why you seem to get hits.

Roger

Update: Just had a 6.3 in Chile

Roger




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