[Duffy]

(03-06-2017, 07:08 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:

(03-06-2017, 03:52 PM)Duffy Wrote: Roger;

According to what you posted, nothing has occurred here since 2008, and I am 43 days late.  

If I predict Sumatra, I gain no credit because there is one a month in Sumatra.

If I predict the Kermadec's, I gain no credit because there is one a month in the Kermadec's.

If I predict a location void of activity for nine years, I gain no credit because it is a one hit wonder.

I don't predict anymore because there is "nothing to gain" from it ... I just experiment!


Duffy

Duffy;

I'm sorry you don't like the rules but I didn't invent them.

Part of the problem is your 30 day window. It slants the odds against you.

One hit wonder, yes but if you do it repeatedly it's worth a lot.

Roger

Roger;

I'm not blaming you, and no I don't like the rules because they don't leave any room (or time) to develop new techniques.  I gave my opinion on why individual location history should be taken into account and that's all I can do.  If you want to brush this one under the rug like it was a 2.5 in Turkey, then that's your prerogative to do so ... your just following the rules right! 

If you want me to do this repeatedly ( which may not be as crazy as it sounds)  I need a 30 day window, and a 10 degree corridor to monitor ... bend the rules a bit, and put some incentive back into prediction !

Duffy