VLF Earthquake Prediction
#15
(02-22-2015, 06:24 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(02-22-2015, 05:37 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-22-2015, 04:44 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(02-22-2015, 04:31 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(02-22-2015, 03:18 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote: H Duffy;

You found the right quake. I was typing from memory, always a mistake with me.

There was another one in Mexico today. No signal on that one?

Roger

Hi Roger,

I'm afraid your getting me a little confused, I post a prediction, which the script gave me endless fun with, it appeared to have a glitch that Brian confirmed, and I corrected the start time to 10:30 UT in the next post. The Honshu, Japan quake occured 16 minutes before my corrected start time, and 9 hours 55 minutes before the prediction was posted. And if memory serves me right, I don't think they drink Tequila in Japan.

Am I missing something here ??

Duffy

Duffy;

No, if things went as you say, the quake came before you posted so doesn't count.

Roger

Ok Roger,

I'll take that as a negative hit, as I mentioned before, I regarded this as a test run and it was my first time.

Still not sure how I failed when I wasn't claiming the Honshu, Japan quake, but I'm still learning the system here and hopefully get the hang of it soon

No hard feelings Roger, there will be other oppotunities, best put the lid back on this Tequila before I get to the worm Confused .

Duffy

Duffy;

That's ok, you didn't predict a location so any quake of the right size that followed within the time predicted would be a hit.

But none did. One was too early, the next too late.

I put your predictions into a file as YYYY,MM,DD,HH,MN,YYYY,MM,DD,HH,MN,M1,M2
and check all quakes, looking for a fit.

It really shouldn't be done in real time as NEIC often changes things as new data arrives.

Roger

Roger:

Thanks for opening a file for me, at least I've got my name on something more than just my driving licence. I'm listening to you and Brian because Chris said you were the guys who knew how best to deal with what I have. I private messaged Brian a couple of weeks ago with concerns of my lack of computer literacy, ( didn't want to spoil the quake thread with different subject) amongst other things, he told me as this was an unusual prediction method, I could dispence with the usual prediction formalities and post images and text instead. Unfortunately, the image refused to go unless I filled in the big red boxes that kept flashing before me. Assuming you have the same prediction table on your screen as I have, where it say's End Date End Date 23/02/2015, to start with, is it normal to have End Date twice, took me 20 minutes to get that date in, because it wouldn't allow more than ten characters, and the end date in the box would not delete.

Appologies if yours say's different, it's either an on going glitch in the system, or I've done something wrong from my end. Which could also explain why you said the "second quake was to late", my End Date reads as above which I assumed would mean I was 20 hours 7 minutes within my End time, or 19 hours 37 minutes using glitch time.

I'm sure I mentioned somewhere that location isn't predictable with this method, I can give a 48 hour window, and I'm building up a pattern which gives a rough distance eg. half way round the world or the other side of the world, the former is in radial distance say 10,000km. Magnitude depends on the type of quake, but I'm also building up a pretty good pattern with that. It was only a small disturbance in the image, which I was reluctant to post, were it not for my wife's insistance, but I can imagine how it would have looked if this system had been stationed on a Mexican Beach !!.

Under this sites perameteres, I'm not likely to get a hit, would have been nice, but my main reason for being here is to have witnesses on a public forum, to show the potential of what this could be developed into. Chris was right, I think this is more physics than prediction, and though I'll continue posting images in predictions, I think realistically I should be looking to reasearch and development (can't afford to keep this going without an end goal).

Maybe the next quake signal will be in Hawaii, we could share a coconut Big Grin, sorry for pulling your leg.

Duffy;




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Messages In This Thread
VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-21-2015, 08:09 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-22-2015, 12:34 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Skywise - 02-22-2015, 12:45 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Skywise - 02-22-2015, 12:49 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-22-2015, 12:50 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-22-2015, 01:10 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Skywise - 02-22-2015, 02:10 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-22-2015, 11:10 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-22-2015, 02:54 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-22-2015, 03:18 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-22-2015, 04:31 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-22-2015, 04:44 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-22-2015, 05:37 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-22-2015, 06:24 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-23-2015, 12:23 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Skywise - 02-23-2015, 12:40 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-23-2015, 12:52 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-23-2015, 05:42 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-23-2015, 06:08 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-25-2015, 02:48 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-25-2015, 03:39 AM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Duffy - 02-26-2015, 01:54 PM
RE: VLF Earthquake Prediction - by Roger Hunter - 02-23-2015, 12:48 AM

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