Nabhan final results
#7
(08-15-2014, 07:13 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(08-12-2014, 03:13 AM)Roger Hunter Wrote:
(08-11-2014, 06:10 PM)Roger Hunter Wrote: I should know better than to say "Final".

Found another bug.

More later.

Roger

Ok, back on track.

Perigee and Moon phase are not significantly above or below chance.
The dawn window is far beyond chance if all files in the area are included and PST time is used.

However, this can be changed by selecting different boundaries for the area, by using true local time for the quakes or by eliminating quakes that are close together in space and time.

This all goes to show that this is not a general rule which would apply to any subset of the quakes but rather an anomalous result depending on which quakes or time standards are chosen.

Roger

If anyone wants the final report, it's attached here as a .pdf file.

Comments welcome.

Roger

A final note;

There's a list of dates to watch in his book covering 2011 to 2020.

I checked the period from 2011 to mid-July 2014 which included 53 predicted dates and he got a grand total of 10 hits for mag 5+ quakes within 3 days of his predicted date.

Sounds about right - for chance.

Roger




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Messages In This Thread
Nabhan final results - by Roger Hunter - 08-10-2014, 01:41 AM
RE: Nabhan final results - by Island Chris - 08-10-2014, 11:41 AM
RE: Nabhan final results - by Roger Hunter - 08-10-2014, 02:15 PM
RE: Nabhan final results - by Roger Hunter - 08-11-2014, 06:10 PM
RE: Nabhan final results - by Roger Hunter - 08-12-2014, 03:13 AM
RE: Nabhan final results - by Roger Hunter - 08-15-2014, 07:13 PM
RE: Nabhan final results - by Roger Hunter - 08-16-2014, 02:38 AM

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