Amit Dave Test Results
#1
6 months ago Amit proposed a test of his methods.

He would post 4 predictions each month for 6 months.

I would post 30 groups of 4 predictions chosen at random.

There would be dates when mag 6.1 quakes would happen +/- a day, so they were 3 day windows in all.

Results would be compared.

A couple of months only had one prediction due to unforseen circumstances and mine were adjusted to match.

At the end of the trial, my random predictions had a higher percentage of hits than his, showing that his method is no better than chance.

Amit disagrees. He contends I had to do much better to prove my point.

I don't thinks so.

Roger




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