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Parkfield Prediction - Printable Version

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Parkfield Prediction - Steve S in SF - 07-01-2016

Predicting 5.0 plus earthquake in Parkfield, CA
07/01/2016 9am PDT through 07/04/16 9am- 72 hours
Coordinates = Parkfield is located at 
[Image: 17px-WMA_button2b.png] WikiMiniAtlas
35°53′59″N 120°25′58″W
Based on Drop in Dilatometer readings at Donna Lee and Vineyard Canyon
 http://escweb.wr.usgs.gov/share/langbein/Web/USGS_strain/pkf_30.png

Also if predicted earthquake does occur I think there it will be strike slip with vertical displacement too 

Steve S in San Francisco

 

RE: Parkfield Prediction - Steve S in SF - 07-01-2016

60 kilometer radius centered at 35°53′59″N 120°25′58″W
No statement on odds

RE: Parkfield Prediction - Duffy - 07-01-2016

(07-01-2016, 04:32 PM)Steve S in SF Wrote: 60 kilometer radius centered at 35°53′59″N 120°25′58″W
No statement on odds

Hi Steve,

Spotted an error in my prediction whilst reading yours, Just sending an unintentional thank you,  glad your using original bearing format rather than decimal or I would not have seen it. My focus is on the Oman region at the moment, but I wish you luck with Parkfield.

Duffy

RE: Parkfield Prediction - Steve S in SF - 07-02-2016

(07-01-2016, 08:07 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(07-01-2016, 04:32 PM)Steve S in SF Wrote: 60 kilometer radius centered at 35°53′59″N 120°25′58″W
No statement on odds

Hi Steve,

Spotted an error in my prediction whilst reading yours, Just sending an unintentional thank you,  glad your using original bearing format rather than decimal or I would not have seen it. My focus is on the Oman region at the moment, but I wish you luck with Parkfield.

Duffy

Vineyard Canyon Dilatometer looks like it might be broken. Glad I at least didn't post percentage of chance. Donna Lee reading looks ok though.

RE: Parkfield Prediction - Duffy - 07-02-2016

(07-02-2016, 03:41 AM)Steve S in SF Wrote:
(07-01-2016, 08:07 PM)Duffy Wrote:
(07-01-2016, 04:32 PM)Steve S in SF Wrote: 60 kilometer radius centered at 35°53′59″N 120°25′58″W
No statement on odds

Hi Steve,

Spotted an error in my prediction whilst reading yours, Just sending an unintentional thank you,  glad your using original bearing format rather than decimal or I would not have seen it. My focus is on the Oman region at the moment, but I wish you luck with Parkfield.

Duffy

Vineyard Canyon Dilatometer looks like it might be broken. Glad I at least didn't post percentage of chance. Donna Lee reading looks ok though.

Good point, adding percentage of chance implies uncertainty or pursuit of causality rather than accuracy!

RE: Parkfield Prediction - PennyB - 07-06-2016

The small quakes in the Parkfield area DO look a bit suspicious.  12 years since the 2004 quake...but who knows?

RE: Parkfield Prediction - PennyB - 07-12-2016

Ahhh...Parkfield!  That whole region just tantalizes and then sits back and thumbs the nose at us.