Earthwaves Earth Sciences Forum

I'm sure many saw this story especially if you are anywhere near LA, but a paper published recently talks about a 99.95 chance of an M5 quake or larger within 60 miles of the recent M5.1 La Habra quake.

The LA times has an article about the controversy, where USGS and Lucy Jones vehemently disagree.

http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me...story.html

link to paper:

http://geodesy.unr.edu/publications/Donn...Al2015.pdf

Brian

(10-24-2015, 10:45 PM)Skywise Wrote: [ -> ]I'm sure many saw this story especially if you are anywhere near LA, but a paper published recently talks about a 99.95 chance of an M5 quake or larger within 60 miles of the recent M5.1 La Habra quake.

The LA times has an article about the controversy, where USGS and Lucy Jones vehemently disagree.

http://www.latimes.com/local/lanow/la-me...story.html

link to paper:

http://geodesy.unr.edu/publications/Donn...Al2015.pdf

Brian

Many people have asked me about this.  I point out that, in general, we cannot be this positive about when a quake will happen.  I DO predict that there will be a quake of 2.5 or larger near San Ramon today!!

(10-24-2015, 10:45 PM)Skywise Wrote: [ -> ]http://geodesy.unr.edu/publications/Donn...Al2015.pdf

Brian

The above link seems to not be working any more. But I found it archived on the Wayback Machine.

https://web.archive.org/web/201510230137...Al2015.pdf

Brian